Issue 26011 Football Win-Draw-Loss Fourteen Matches: Chelsea is unreliable, Liverpool is secure, Arsenal is unstable

1. Chelsea VS Brentford

The home side initially aimed for progress but is currently placed eighth, with a recent six-game record of 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses. At home, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 9 goals. They have not won in five consecutive matches. In their last six home matches, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 7, reflecting unstable form.

In contrast, the visitors are fifth, just two points shy of the top four, showing clear ambition. Their recent six matches include 4 wins and 2 draws, with no losses. Away, they have 2 wins, no draws or losses, scoring 14 and conceding 4. Although their opponents were not the strongest in the Premier League, this consistent point gain is impressive. However, in the last six away games, they have 2 wins and 4 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 10, but have won the last two matches.

Data still heavily favors the home team, but with changes and instability due to a new coach, there might be an upset.

Primary pick: home win; secondary pick: away win

2. Leeds VS Fulham

The home team is sixteenth with no relegation worries. In their last six games, they have 1 win, 4 draws, and 1 loss. At home, they hold 1 win, 1 draw, and no losses, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Though their ability to win is limited, it is also tough to beat them. Over their last six home matches, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 14 and conceding 9, showing strong home attacking power.

The visitors rank ninth with 4 wins and 2 draws in their last six games, no losses. Away, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and no defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Their recent form is excellent. In the last six away matches, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 8, remaining unbeaten in their last four away games.

The data slightly supports the home side, though the strength of this support is limited but still somewhat favorable.

Home win

3. Liverpool VS Burnley

Home win

4. Sunderland VS Crystal Palace

The home team has risen from being a dark horse to tenth place but is showing signs of fatigue. Their last six matches include 1 win, 4 draws, and 1 loss. At home, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and no losses, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Over the last six home games, they have 2 wins and 4 draws, scoring 8 and conceding 6, showing strong home resilience.

The visitors are disappointing, currently ranked thirteenth. Their last six matches show no wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. Away, they have no wins, no draws, and 2 losses, scoring 2 and conceding 11, with severely unbalanced offense and defense. In their last six away games, they have 3 wins and 3 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Defensive issues are significant.

The data is neutral. The first match ended 0-0, but technical stats favored the visitors. The home team might play wildly at home.

Primary pick: home win; secondary pick: draw

5. Tottenham VS West Ham

The home team ranks fourteenth, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last six games. At home, they have no wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 5 and conceding 9. In their last six home games, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 8.

The visitors are eighteenth, with no wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses in their last six matches. Away, they have no wins, no draws, and 2 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 14. In their last six away games, they have no wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 12.

Both teams have been poor recently. The data favors the home team strongly, but given their poor form, this seems excessive.

Primary pick: home win; secondary pick: away win

6. Nottingham VS Arsenal

The home team is seventeenth, just above the relegation zone, with 2 wins and 4 losses in their last six games. At home, they have 1 win, no draws, and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 9, showing poor form. Over their last six home matches, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 9, displaying inconsistency.

The visitors remain top of the table, though leading Manchester City by six points, their form is somewhat concerning. In their last six matches, they have 5 wins and 1 draw, no losses. Away, they have 2 wins, no draws, and no losses, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Over their last six away games, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 10 and conceding 7, showing much weaker away form.

The data strongly supports the visitors, but clearly this support is insufficient given both teams’ recent states.

Primary pick: away win; secondary pick: draw

7. Dortmund VS Saint-Étienne

Although the first leg ended in a 3-3 draw, the home team was going through a low phase while the visitors were highly motivated.

The data strongly favors the home side, with substantial confidence.

Home win

8. Hoffenheim VS Leverkusen

The home team is fifth, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last six games. At home, they have 3 wins, no draws, and 0 losses, scoring 13 and conceding 5, showing excellent form. In their last six home matches, they have 5 wins and 1 loss, scoring 18 and conceding 5, demonstrating strong home strength with five consecutive wins.

The visitors have been inconsistent, dropping to sixth place with 3 wins and 3 losses in their last six matches. Away, they have 2 wins, no draws, and 1 loss, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Their defense is weak. Over their last six away games, they have 4 wins and 2 losses, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Their attack is decent but defense fragile.

The data shows no clear bias but slightly favors the home team.

Primary pick: home win; secondary pick: draw

9. Hamburg VS Monchengladbach

The home team ranks fourteenth, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last six games. At home, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and no losses, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Their three losses were away. Over their last six home games, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 11 and conceding 6. Teams like Dortmund, Stuttgart, and Frankfurt failed to get points here, showing strong home capability.

The visitors are tenth, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last six matches. Away, they have 1 win, no draws, and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 10. In their last six away games, they have 3 wins and 3 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Their three wins came against weaker opponents, so the quality is questionable.

Data is neutral. Based on recent form and home/away strength, the home team has a good chance of escaping with points.

Primary pick: draw; secondary pick: home win

10. Leipzig VS Bayern

The home team is third, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last six games. At home, they have 3 wins, no draws, and 1 loss, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Over their last six home matches, they have 5 wins and 1 loss, scoring 16 and conceding 5, losing only to Leverkusen.

The visitors have 5 wins and 1 draw in their last six games, no losses. Away, they have 3 wins, no draws, and no losses, scoring 25 and conceding 5. In their last six away matches, they have 5 wins and 1 draw, scoring 20 and conceding 3, which is truly formidable.

The data supports the visitors but the strength of this support is somewhat insufficient.

Primary pick: away win; secondary pick: draw

11. Napoli VS Sassuolo

The home team is third, with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last six games. At home, they have no wins, 2 draws, and no losses, scoring 8 and conceding 5, showing some lack of offensive power. They have had three consecutive draws against Parma and Verona. Over their last six home matches, they have 3 wins and 3 draws, scoring 10 and conceding 5.

The visitors rank eleventh, with no wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses in their last six matches. Away, they have no wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 4 and conceding 10, showing poor form. However, they managed draws against AC Milan and Bologna, which is respectable. Over their last six away games, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 8, with two wins and two draws of decent quality.

The data strongly favors the home team, but given their recent form, this support seems somewhat overestimated.

Primary pick: home win; secondary pick: draw

12. Cagliari VS Juventus

Away win

13. Mallorca VS Bilbao

The home team is seventeenth, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last six games. At home, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 8, showing average performance. Over their last six home matches, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 6, losing only to Girona who has improved, indicating decent home strength.

The visitors rank eighth, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last six games. Away, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Their attacking ability has recently been significantly affected. Over their last six away matches, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 10, showing weak away form.

The data supports the visitors moderately, but based on recent form and home/away strength, the home team appears stronger, making this data somewhat illogical.

Primary pick: away win; secondary pick: home win

14. Betis VS Villarreal

The home team is sixth, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last six games. At home, they have 1 win, no draws, and 1 loss, scoring 11 and conceding 11, showing defensive instability. Over their last six home matches, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Losses to Atletico and Barcelona indicate a lack of fighting spirit in tough matches.

The visitors rank third, with 5 wins and 1 loss in their last six games. Away, they have 2 wins, no draws, and no losses, scoring 13 and conceding 7. Over their last six away matches, they have 5 wins and 1 loss, scoring 13 and conceding 7, showing very strong away ability.

The data is neutral. Recent form favors the visitors, but home and away strength between the two teams is roughly equal.

Primary pick: draw; secondary pick: away win